Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.005941 0.006549 0.007176 0.007871 0.008619 0.009398 0.010269
2025-02-02 0.004931 0.005797 0.006736 0.007826 0.009051 0.010381 0.011931
2025-02-09 0.004307 0.005310 0.006436 0.007787 0.009353 0.011104 0.013200
2025-02-16 0.003950 0.005066 0.006357 0.007947 0.009837 0.011998 0.014639
2025-02-23 0.003543 0.004716 0.006110 0.007870 0.010010 0.012506 0.015615
2025-03-02 0.003247 0.004470 0.005960 0.007882 0.010267 0.013098 0.016681
2025-03-09 0.003109 0.004406 0.006020 0.008142 0.010818 0.014042 0.018178
2025-03-16 0.002914 0.004251 0.005951 0.008226 0.011143 0.014708 0.019340
2025-03-23 0.002768 0.004150 0.005940 0.008376 0.011545 0.015467 0.020622
2025-03-30 0.002646 0.004070 0.005947 0.008542 0.011965 0.016252 0.021944
2025-04-06 0.002417 0.003825 0.005722 0.008388 0.011959 0.016489 0.022572
2025-04-13 0.002267 0.003683 0.005625 0.008397 0.012160 0.016986 0.023534
2025-04-20 0.002077 0.003476 0.005434 0.008279 0.012197 0.017286 0.024264
2025-04-27 0.001930 0.003323 0.005312 0.008249 0.012348 0.017736 0.025199
2025-05-04 0.001793 0.003176 0.005188 0.008207 0.012478 0.018153 0.026091
2025-05-11 0.001728 0.003133 0.005213 0.008374 0.012896 0.018960 0.027508
2025-05-18 0.001600 0.002984 0.005072 0.008293 0.012962 0.019290 0.028289
2025-05-25 0.001506 0.002884 0.004998 0.008306 0.013157 0.019793 0.029308
2025-06-01 0.001484 0.002898 0.005097 0.008577 0.013723 0.020814 0.031043
2025-06-08 0.001419 0.002836 0.005077 0.008665 0.014026 0.021473 0.032292
2025-06-15 0.001373 0.002805 0.005102 0.008821 0.014427 0.022274 0.033744
2025-06-22 0.001335 0.002784 0.005139 0.008995 0.014857 0.023120 0.035269
2025-06-29 0.001228 0.002635 0.004965 0.008834 0.014787 0.023255 0.035802